April 9, 2026 - Chart Shows Iran May Have Mined Strait

When you vote in our daily poll, you have the option to suggest future topics or pose a question to me directly. Last month, Mary Burke from Prescott, Arizona, asked a great one: How often do our poll results accurately predict the future?

I realized I’d never actually looked at the data through that lens, so I assigned intern Andrew Cadwallader (Haverford College, ‘26) to study the issue. I’ll be sharing the full results on the radio today, but here are a few highlights:

·       November 2022: In the wake of the midterms, respondents overwhelmingly saw Ron DeSantis as the future of the GOP.

·       September 2023: Ten months before President Biden withdrew from the race, 61% of you already said he should do so.

·       October 8, 2023: The day after the Hamas attack on Israel, 68% of respondents believed the prospect of a two-state solution was over.

·       October 10, 2023: When asked if the war would become regionalized, 55% predicted that it would.

·       Election Day 2024: In a notable miss for the consensus, 83% of voters predicted a Harris victory.

·       June 2025: Amidst "Operation Midnight Hammer" (the strike against Iranian nuclear capabilities), I asked if the situation would "end well." 80% of you predicted that it would not.

Tune in to the show today for the full breakdown of where we were right, where we were wrong, and what it says about the "wisdom of the crowd."

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A newly announced ceasefire between Iran, the U.S., and Israel is already under strain due to continued violence in Lebanon, disputes over key terms like uranium and shipping routes, and rising tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, threatening to unravel the agreement.

Associated Press

The U.S. fertility rate hit another record low in 2025, reflecting long-term demographic shifts as people delay having children due to economic pressures, later partnerships, and changing priorities—raising concerns about future workforce growth, Social Security stability, and broader economic impacts.

CNN

Democrats have been consistently outperforming their 2024 election margins in subsequent races, driven by higher voter enthusiasm, backlash against current Republican leadership, and typical midterm dynamics, resulting in stronger showings across special elections, state races, and local contests.

NPR

The Gilgo Beach serial killer, Rex Heuermann, pleaded guilty to murdering eight women, ending a decades-long investigation as disturbing courtroom revelations shocked families and provided long-awaited answers, though the brutality of his crimes left lasting emotional scars.

New York Post

Apple co-founder Ronald Wayne now claims he never truly sold his original 10% stake in the company, challenging the long-accepted narrative and raising questions about ownership decades after walking away from what became a trillion-dollar enterprise.

PCMag

A Michigan woman’s disappearance at sea in the Bahamas has escalated into a criminal investigation, with her husband arrested amid conflicting details about how she went overboard and an ongoing multi-agency search for answers.

ABC News

Americans’ views of Israel and Benjamin Netanyahu have grown increasingly negative, especially among younger voters, reflecting shifting public opinion, partisan divides, and declining confidence amid ongoing geopolitical conflict.

Pew Research Center

Gardening supports brain health by combining physical activity, mental stimulation, and stress reduction, which together may help maintain cognitive function and reduce risk factors associated with decline, even if it’s not a guaranteed prevention for dementia.

The Washington Post

A parking garage under construction in Philadelphia partially collapsed, killing one person and leaving others missing, as rescue crews continue searching through unstable debris and investigators examine potential structural failures.

6ABC

Comedian Nikki Glaser describes her relationship dynamic where she encourages her partner’s consensual sexual experiences with others, while drawing a firm boundary against emotional connection and requiring honesty about any encounters.

USA Today