June 4, 2026

Michael's Daily Notes

Tehran's Best Weapon Is the Clock

The House passed a resolution yesterday to curtail President Trump's ability to wage war against Iran. The vote was 215-208 - four Republicans broke ranks - Thomas Massie of Kentucky, Brian Fitzpatrick of Pennsylvania, Tom Barrett of Michigan, and Warren Davidson of Ohio - giving Democrats the margin they needed to pass a war powers resolution directing the president to remove U.S. forces from hostilities unless Congress explicitly authorizes continued action.

It won't end the war. The Senate has blocked similar measures seven times. Trump will veto the decision if it ever reaches his desk. Republicans call it unconstitutional. The White House argues hostilities already ended with the April ceasefire anyway.

I share the distrust of the Administration. There was never a coherent rationale offered for the imminence of an Iranian threat before February 28. But here's what worries me.

Tehran is watching. And what they see is exactly what they've been counting on - an American public growing restless, a Congress fracturing, a president whose poll numbers are sagging as gas prices climb. A Fox News survey found 60% of Americans already oppose the war. The conflict has cost taxpayers over $100 billion. The Strait of Hormuz blockade holds for now, but the ceasefire is fragile and skirmishes are ticking up.

Iran has always known it cannot defeat the United States militarily. But it doesn't have to. Time is the only weapon left in their arsenal - and this week, Congress just handed them more of it.

Every congressional vote signaling American impatience is a gift to the negotiators in Tehran. They simply have to wait us out.

They've done it before.

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